Yankees vs Athletics | Handicapping the Matchup
The Yankees are on a roll
and in baseball, momentum means everything. In football, it means nothing, in
basketball, it means very little but in baseball, you must follow trends. You
must follow the latest happenings of the game and what specific-teams are doing
to win or lose. The A’s are also playing very well and both teams come into
tonight’s games with near identical records. Both have been hot to end the
season and both have outstanding regular season records to have finished as the
Wild Card teams. The way this season worked out in both the AL East and West
was nothing less than an astounding season from the Red Sox as well as the
Astros. Who would have ever predicted that the Yankees would finish the season
with 100 wins but fail to win the division? The A’s followed up with 97 wins of
their own.
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The Oakland A’s:
This is a pitching project
by committee and anytime that normal is put aside, bettors tend to run the
other direction. The A’s have used this strategy often over the course of this
season and it has largely worked. The problem from a betting standpoint is
this; it not normal to do what the A’s are doing. Yes, it has worked to a
degree but then at the same time, it really hasn’t worked. The A’s went 4-5 in
September employing this strategy, however, they did have an overall ERA of
1.86. That’s outstanding over 9 games and even more outstanding considering
they lost 5 of those games. So, what does this tell us? It tells us that
pitching by committee had been stellar. The idea has worked because the
pitchers that have been used, they have stepped up and fulfilled their roll in
a 1 and 2 inning situation.
The pitching is one thing
if it works, however, it’s a bit of a risk in a one game playoff. The hitting
had better come through, it had better be stellar tonight or the A’s are in
trouble against Severino.
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The Yankees:
Luis Severino is 19-8 for
the season and went 5-6 after the All-Star break! That’s how good he was. He
started the season at 14-2 and was on pace to set a Yankees pitching record but
fell short. Severino has been outstanding over the last two regular seasons but
not that amazing in the playoffs, going 1-1 in four starts. This can work for
Severino if he clears his head and takes it one inning at a time. He is no
doubt the best pitcher in the building tonight and he absolutely can shut the
door on the A’s hitting.
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Severino tends to let “the
moment” get the best of him. He must settle in and let this Yankees lineup do
the work. This Yankees team set an all-time record for regular season home runs
with 267. This lineup can be the best it’s been for the Yankees since 1998!
It’s that good.
The A’s are a mystery and
to most bettors, the value is on “the known”. There is simply no value in “Tim
Tebow”! Tonight, the A’s send their version of “Tim Tebow” to the mound. Liam
Hendricks will get the start. Hendricks was given this roll on eight different
occasions this season and he finished with an 0-1 record. This record can’t be
looked at when betting, it simply can’t be. Hendricks went one inning on
September 4th against the Yankees, giving up no hits and no runs on
11 pitches—the A’s went on to lose the game, 5-1.
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Prediction: Yankees have a
mean lineup with a new murders row and there has been a different hero nightly.
There is something about a “must win” situation in the Bronx. Tonight, should
be no different with the ace, Luis Severino on the mound. The A’s strategy
worked some of the time but it would be a tall order to expect it to work this
evening. Stay with the trend, stay with momentum. The Yankees win this baseball
game.
